Here's Why All Your Projects Are Always Late--And What to Do About It

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  • 2nd avenue subway is a grotesque example
  • Planning fallacy (Kahneman Tversky): people underestimate amount of time a project will take even while knowing other data points
  • Optimism bias is positive! Leads to happiness. Just need to be aware of it
    • Leads to imagining scenario where things go right and dismissing scenario where things go wrong
  • Coordination neglect: underestimating overhead of coordination when adding ppl to group
  • Procrastination stems from poor impulse control
  • Avoid state of continuous partial attention
  • Use reference class forecasting: ignore your project. Look at similar projects.